WhatFinger


Romney’s road to the White House is wider, which is why I predict that Mitt Romney will be elected President of the United States on November 6, 2012

How Things Look with Ten Days Left



I have been pouring over the numbers in this “too-close-to-call” election for some time and am ready to confidently call it. We begin with the 40 states plus the District of Columbia where the winner is no longer in doubt (and for some have never been in doubt). For Barack Obama, they are California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Washington, Massachusetts, Maryland, Minnesota, Connecticut, Oregon, New Mexico, Maine, Rhode Island, Hawaii, Delaware, DC, and Vermont.
For Mitt Romney, they are Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Tennessee, Indiana, Missouri, Colorado, Alabama, South Carolina, Louisiana, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Kansas, Arkansas, Utah, Nebraska, West Virginia, Idaho, Alaska, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming. That’s 17 states with 201 electoral votes for Obama, 24 states with 206 electoral votes for Romney. I never bought the suggestion that Missouri was a toss-up because of GOP Senatorial candidate Todd Akin; and Obama conceded defeat in North Carolina with his pro-gay marriage position the day after that state’s electorate resoundingly took the opposite view. That leaves ten states with a total of 131 electoral votes. Of them, the latest Rasmussen polls of likely voters in two show leads for Barack Obama of five points or more and the president’s support topping 50 percent: Pennsylvania and Michigan. Well respected political analyst, Larry Sabado of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, noted that Pennsylvania is not out of the question for Romney, but is likely to fall into his column only as part of a sweeping electoral victory for the former Massachusetts governor. They bring the president to 237. Romney has one state like that, but it is an important one. Virtually every pollster and pundit now agrees that Mitt Romney will carry Florida, which brings his total to 235. For anyone who wants focus in the last ten days of the election campaign, there are seven states (66 electoral college votes) that will determine the winner of this election: Ohio (18); Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10); Colorado (9), Nevada (6); Iowa (6); and New Hampshire (4). Both Obama and Romney can win without Ohio, although taking it makes the path to the White House a lot easier.

Support Canada Free Press


If Obama wins Ohio, he needs 15 more Electoral College votes and can get them by carrying Virginia, Wisconsin, or Colorado; plus any one of the remaining swing states if it’s Virginia, or any one of the remaining swing states, not including New Hampshire if it’s one of the other two. He can also win by carrying Ohio, Nevada, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Without Ohio, he can win by carrying Virginia and Wisconsin plus two other states; or without Ohio or Virginia, he has to carry all of the remaining swing states. Romney needs 17 more votes if he carries Ohio, which makes a difference. If he also takes Virginia, he wins by taking any of the remaining swing states gives as well. If he loses Virginia, he wins by carrying Wisconsin and Colorado or one of the two plus two out of Nevada, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Whether he carries Ohio or not Mitt Romney cannot be elected president unless he wins Virginia, Wisconsin, or Colorado. But those scenarios are likely to change considering that most analysts consider Romney victories in Virginia and Colorado likely. He would then need 13 out of the remaining 44 Electoral College votes and can exceed that by carrying Ohio or by carrying Wisconsin and one other state among Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. Or put another way, Obama must win Ohio to be re-elected; and he cannot win if he loses Wisconsin and any other remaining swing state. Romney’s road to the White House is wider, which is why I predict that Mitt Romney will be elected President of the United States on November 6, 2012.


View Comments

Dr. Richard Benkin -- Bio and Archives

Dr. Richard L. Benkin is a human rights activist who most often finds himself battling America’s and Israel’s enemies.  He is the foremost advocate fighting to stop the ethnic cleansing of Hindus by Islamists and their fellow travelers in Bangladesh. He earlier secured the release of an anti-jihadi journalist and stopped an anti-Israel conference at an official Australian statehouse.  For more information, go to InterfaithStrength.com orForcefield.


Sponsored